Sha Tin · 2023-03-19 · 18:03
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MIGHTY STRIDE Closed strongly 1.22.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly TT1 L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | UNPRESUMING B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR Closed strongly H-/V R Moore · F C Lor | R Moore | F C Lor | 14 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | NOT USUAL STAR Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 13 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEATO Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 55.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 149.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT B S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 1 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TAMRA BLITZ H/SR/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | NABOO LEGEND Led early B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON TT J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 6 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FIND MY LOVE CP/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | — | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-19 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY STRIDE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with HYPER DRAGON BALL second and UNPRESUMING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNPRESUMING | 28.6% | 3.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 22.8% | 4.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | TAMRA BLITZ | 6.6% | 15.24 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | BEATO | 6.5% | 15.44 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | NOT USUAL STAR | 5.1% | 19.62 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 5.1% | 19.73 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 5.0% | 20.10 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | NABOO LEGEND | 4.5% | 22.10 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING | 3.8% | 26.32 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 3.1% | 32.14 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 2.9% | 34.49 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.8% | 35.37 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 1.8% | 56.30 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 1.5% | 64.61 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 25.5
PLACE
6 12.5
13 34
14 15.5
QUINELLA
6,13 202.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,13 75
6,14 22.5
13,14 85.5
FORECAST
6,13 263
TIERCE
6,13,14 1,095
TRIO
6,13,14 181
FIRST 4
1,6,13,14 548
QUARTET
6,13,14,1 8,462
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/6,13,14 42,916
9TH DOUBLE
4/6 46.5
4/13 48.5
SIX UP
5,10/1,7/1,3/4,6/4,6/6,13 1,644
10/7/3/4/4/6 406,820
2 [H Bowman] —
11 [K W Lui] —
TREBLE
4/4/6 4,534
4/4/13 5,694