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Sha Tin · 2023-03-19 · 14:01

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 13 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUMMIT CHEERS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with AWESOME TREASURE second and ROUND THE GLOBE third. The 1.8 favourite ROUND THE GLOBE finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SUMMIT CHEERS TT 1.09.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall 4 10.0 1
2 2 AWESOME TREASURE H/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 10 18.0 1
3 8 ROUND THE GLOBE K Teetan · P F Yiu 5 1.8 1
4 3 GLUCK RACER V M F Poon · L Ho 2 17.0 1-1/2
5 12 SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 8 12.0 1-3/4
6 10 MULTIDARLING CP1 C L Chau · T P Yung 6 11.0 2
7 11 DEVIL AND GOLD TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip 3 85.0 2
8 6 GOLDEN SAMURAI B1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 12 18.0 3-1/4
9 14 HAPPILY FRIENDS V V Borges · W Y So 9 197.0 3-1/2
10 5 EASY TWO TT K C Leung · K H Ting 1 132.0 3-1/2
11 9 DUBLIN STAR B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man 14 48.0 3-3/4
12 1 FAST BUCK B R Moore · J Size 7 7.6 3-3/4
13 7 GOOD BOY B1 Z Purton · P C Ng 13 16.0 3-3/4
13 ROYAL AGILITY B/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 11 182.0

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUMMIT CHEERS2. AWESOME TREASURE+1L3. ROUND THE GLOBE+1L4. GLUCK RACER+1.5L5. SUPER HIGHWAY+1.75L6. MULTIDARLING+2L7. DEVIL AND GOLD+2L8. GOLDEN SAMURAI+3.25L9. HAPPILY FRIENDS+3.5L10. EASY TWO+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick ROUND THE GLOBE (23.0%) finished 3rd — the winner SUMMIT CHEERS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 ROUND THE GLOBE 23.0% 4.35 3
2 7 GOOD BOY 17.9% 5.58 13
3 1 FAST BUCK 15.4% 6.51 12
4 4 SUMMIT CHEERS 10.9% 9.19 1
5 6 GOLDEN SAMURAI 7.1% 14.11 8
6 9 DUBLIN STAR 5.1% 19.70 11
7 10 MULTIDARLING 4.9% 20.48 6
8 12 SUPER HIGHWAY 4.9% 20.59 5
9 3 GLUCK RACER 4.4% 22.56 4
10 2 AWESOME TREASURE 3.3% 30.29 2
11 11 DEVIL AND GOLD 1.2% 81.67 7
12 5 EASY TWO 1.0% 97.85 10
13 14 HAPPILY FRIENDS 1.0% 101.48 9
ROUND THE GLOBEGOOD BOYFAST BUCKSUMMIT CHEERS — wonGOLDEN SAMURAIDUBLIN STARMULTIDARLINGSUPER HIGHWAYGLUCK RACERAWESOME TREASUREDEVIL AND GOLDEASY TWOHAPPILY FRIENDS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 106

PLACE

2 44

4 35

8 12.5

QUINELLA

2,4 746

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 229.5

2,8 70

4,8 49

FORECAST

4,2 1,973

TIERCE

4,2,8 4,290

TRIO

2,4,8 463

FIRST 4

2,3,4,8 1,198

QUARTET

4,2,8,3 50,655

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

3/2 283

3/4 1,443

3 PICK 1

A1

A3

A2 48