Sha Tin · 2023-03-19 · 16:48
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | TUCHEL Closed strongly R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 1 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 2.3 | HD |
| 4 | 0 | KEEFY Led early H K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 81.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SWORD POINT CP H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 6 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER B1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 119.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 3.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED B-/H-/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 8 | 124.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS B D Lane · C Fownes | D Lane | C Fownes | 3 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BON'S A PEARLA CP-/B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 69.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE H/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 11 | 61.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 79.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR XB/H1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 13 | 42.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | — | 46.0 | SH |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-19 was 4YO over 2000m, run on GOOD going. TUCHEL, ridden by R Moore and trained by J Size, won by SH, with BEAUTY ETERNAL second and KEEFY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite BEAUTY ETERNAL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 27.2% | 3.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 19.9% | 5.01 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | TUCHEL | 16.0% | 6.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SWORD POINT | 8.8% | 11.42 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 4.6% | 21.58 | — |
| 6 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 4.4% | 22.49 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 3.7% | 27.35 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 3.2% | 31.30 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 2.8% | 35.88 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | KEEFY | 2.6% | 38.96 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 2.4% | 41.95 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 1.7% | 59.83 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | BON'S A PEARLA | 1.4% | 70.68 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE | 1.4% | 73.08 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 468
PLACE
2 12
4 97
6 28
QUINELLA
4,6 1,940
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 188.5
2,6 59.5
4,6 471
FORECAST
4,6 5,908
TIERCE
4,6,2 18,580
TRIO
2,4,6 1,417
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 10,967
QUARTET
4,6,2,1 489,899
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 56.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/2,4,6 3,198
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 1,651.5
3/6 75