Sha Tin · 2023-03-19 · 17:28
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-19 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPREME LUCKY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-3/4, with EURO ROCKS second and BEAUTY GLORY third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPREME LUCKY TT 1.09.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 13 | 2.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | EURO ROCKS TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | BRAVE DREAMS TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | MAGNIAC V/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED B-/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ETERNAL BLOOM D Lane · P F Yiu | D Lane | P F Yiu | 3 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | SAVVY CHIC TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | BUNDLE OF CHARM R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ENNEA FORTUNE H/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | G LINER SR C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 243.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 14 | 86.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | CHRYSOS A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 106.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 10 | FORTUNE WARRIOR S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 4 | 89.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MAGNIAC | 19.7% | 5.09 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | BRAVE DREAMS | 16.0% | 6.24 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPREME LUCKY | 14.9% | 6.71 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | SAVVY CHIC | 11.0% | 9.12 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 8.5% | 11.72 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY | 6.3% | 15.92 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 4.9% | 20.21 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | EURO ROCKS | 3.6% | 27.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 3.5% | 28.25 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.9% | 33.95 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 2.8% | 35.10 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | CHRYSOS | 2.7% | 37.45 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 2.5% | 39.99 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | G LINER | 0.5% | 185.56 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 21
PLACE
2 64.5
4 12.5
6 42.5
QUINELLA
4,6 194.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 106
2,6 492.5
4,6 77.5
FORECAST
4,6 313
TIERCE
4,6,2 4,156
TRIO
2,4,6 1,178
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 2,388
QUARTET
4,6,2,8 31,415
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
4/4 1,291.5
4/6 1,531