Sha Tin · 2023-04-23 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. IRON WILL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with FAST BUCK second and AMAZING TEENS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite AMAZING TEENS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | IRON WILL Closed strongly H/TT 1.41.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 27.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | FAST BUCK Led early P1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 10 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DARCI LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 4 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HIGH CLOUD B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | KING'S CAPITAL B- Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 9 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | NUNCHUKS TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS | 25.1% | 3.99 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | ASIAN ONE | 23.1% | 4.33 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 13.9% | 7.17 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | IRON WILL | 8.1% | 12.40 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | FAST BUCK | 7.3% | 13.75 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 7.0% | 14.32 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | NUNCHUKS | 6.6% | 15.12 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | KING'S CAPITAL | 5.2% | 19.32 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | HIGH CLOUD | 2.6% | 38.59 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | DARCI LEGEND | 1.2% | 85.14 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 276
PLACE
1 13.5
3 45.5
9 58.5
QUINELLA
3,9 1,835
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 61
1,9 104.5
3,9 420.5
FORECAST
9,3 5,876
TIERCE
9,3,1 14,004
TRIO
1,3,9 779
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 605
QUARTET
9,3,1,8 33,989
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/3 86
2/9 532
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/1,3,9 31,421
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 39
A1 —