Sha Tin · 2023-04-23 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. REVE PARISIEN, ridden by M F Poon and trained by L Ho, won by HD, with READY TO WIN second and E LEGEND third. The 3.7 favourite MIDORI BEAUTY finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | REVE PARISIEN CP- 1.10.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 28.0 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | READY TO WIN XB/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 18.0 | N |
| 4 | 8 | WONDER KIT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 8 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CZARSON CP-/B2 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | NOBLE WIN XB/E1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | GOOD BUDDY H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 5.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | TEXAS MOON B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | SETANTA B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 64.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 4 | THESIS A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NOBLE WIN | 14.9% | 6.71 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS | 14.4% | 6.96 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | WONDER KIT | 12.4% | 8.06 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 11.6% | 8.62 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | GOOD BUDDY | 9.5% | 10.57 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | E LEGEND | 9.1% | 10.94 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | CZARSON | 8.2% | 12.23 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | READY TO WIN | 7.4% | 13.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | TEXAS MOON | 6.7% | 14.91 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | REVE PARISIEN | 4.0% | 25.25 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | SETANTA | 1.9% | 54.05 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 287
PLACE
6 53.5
7 76.5
10 41
QUINELLA
7,10 2,670
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 537.5
6,10 314.5
7,10 686.5
FORECAST
7,10 4,404
TIERCE
7,10,6 40,013
TRIO
6,7,10 9,153
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 9,586
QUARTET
7,10,6,8 256,944
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 39
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,12/6,7,10 1,469,012
7TH DOUBLE
9/7 1,371.5
9/10 223.5