Sha Tin · 2023-04-23 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WAR WEAPON Closed strongly XB/TT 1.35.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS Closed strongly TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING COOL Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | THE HULK L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | POLYMER GLORIOUS SR V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 3 | 63.0 | 24-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | VANQUISHER H-/B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 60.0 | 26 |
| — | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | — | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-23 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WAR WEAPON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 2-1/4, with DARCI JOY second and YOUNG VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WAR WEAPON | 18.3% | 5.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS | 17.3% | 5.79 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | THE HULK | 15.5% | 6.47 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 11.6% | 8.60 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING COOL | 10.5% | 9.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS | 9.1% | 10.95 | — |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 8.8% | 11.38 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 5.5% | 18.16 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | VANQUISHER | 2.2% | 45.34 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | POLYMER GLORIOUS | 1.2% | 80.93 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 23
PLACE
1 27.5
2 51.5
6 11.5
QUINELLA
1,6 92
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 161
1,6 34.5
2,6 94
FORECAST
6,1 188
TIERCE
6,1,2 1,640
TRIO
1,2,6 523
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 382
QUARTET
6,1,2,4 6,369
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,10/1,2,6 1,215,986
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/1 378.5
10/6 723.5