Sha Tin · 2023-04-23 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT 1.08.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ADEFILL CP K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 1 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT PC-/E/P2 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD B-/P2 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 46.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM P2/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 7 | 64.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 3 | 36.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | 7.4 | 4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. YOUTHFUL DEAL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-3/4, with GUMMY GUMMY second and ADEFILL third. The 2.7 favourite GUMMY GUMMY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ADEFILL | 38.6% | 2.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY | 17.4% | 5.73 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 13.7% | 7.32 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 10.2% | 9.85 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 7.8% | 12.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD | 3.8% | 26.18 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 3.5% | 28.70 | — |
| 8 | 0 | SUNNY BOY | 1.8% | 56.34 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 1.7% | 57.66 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM | 1.5% | 67.00 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 47.5
PLACE
7 14.5
8 13.5
9 13
QUINELLA
7,9 54
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 25.5
7,9 23
8,9 23
FORECAST
7,9 163
TIERCE
7,9,8 303
TRIO
7,8,9 42
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 66
QUARTET
7,9,8,10 1,667
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 24.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,10/7,8,9 55,989
5TH DOUBLE
2/7 515
2/9 61
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,6/2,4,10/7,8,9 3,841,859
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/2,4,10/Any Combination 76,837