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Sha Tin · 2023-04-23 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEAUTY CHAMP Closed strongly P-/H/XB/TT 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte 2 20.0 1/2
2 0 BEAUTY INSPIRE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 3 2.5 1/2
3 0 SOLID IMPACT Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 8 5.7 2-3/4
4 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE Closed strongly TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 11.0 3-1/2
5 0 TOP TOP TEA Y L Chung · C H Yip 1 15.0 4
6 0 SKY FOREVER Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man 14 50.0 4
7 0 RUN RUN BUDDY Led early CP/TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor 11 5.6 4-1/4
9 0 WINNER METHOD TT M F Poon · C S Shum 9 16.0 7
11 0 ARIEL CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 10 17.0 8-1/2
12 0 G LINER SR C Wong · T P Yung 5 194.0 9-1/2
13 0 KIMBERLEY L Hewitson · A T Millard 4 77.0 9-3/4
— 0 ENDEARED L Currie · J Size — 17.0 14-1/4
— 0 LESLIE Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu — 29.0 7-1/4
— 0 PODIUM Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui — 48.0 5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-23 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY CHAMP, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY INSPIRE second and SOLID IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite BEAUTY INSPIRE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY CHAMP—2. BEAUTY INSPIRE+0.5L3. SOLID IMPACT+2.75L4. CALIFORNIA VOCE+3.5L5. TOP TOP TEA+4L6. SKY FOREVER+4L7. RUN RUN BUDDY+4.25L9. WINNER METHOD+7L11. ARIEL+8.5L12. G LINER+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SOLID IMPACT (15.8%) finished 3rd — the winner BEAUTY CHAMP was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SOLID IMPACT 15.8% 6.34 3
2 0 RUN RUN BUDDY 14.8% 6.77 7
3 0 BEAUTY INSPIRE 13.1% 7.61 2
4 0 TOP TOP TEA 13.1% 7.65 5
5 0 ARIEL 8.2% 12.15 11
6 0 WINNER METHOD 6.1% 16.34 9
7 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE 5.8% 17.26 4
8 0 BEAUTY CHAMP 5.1% 19.52 1
9 0 LESLIE 5.0% 20.14 —
10 0 SKY FOREVER 4.7% 21.30 6
11 0 KIMBERLEY 3.0% 33.59 13
12 0 ENDEARED 2.3% 44.26 —
13 0 PODIUM 2.2% 45.36 —
14 0 G LINER 0.8% 118.58 12
SOLID IMPACTRUN RUN BUDDYBEAUTY INSPIRETOP TOP TEAARIELWINNER METHODCALIFORNIA VOCEBEAUTY CHAMP — wonLESLIESKY FOREVERKIMBERLEYENDEAREDPODIUMG LINER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 205

PLACE

4 18

5 14

12 48

QUINELLA

5,12 279.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 36.5

4,12 143.5

5,12 96.5

FORECAST

12,5 1,311

TIERCE

12,5,4 4,381

TRIO

4,5,12 355

FIRST 4

3,4,5,12 1,448

QUARTET

12,5,4,3 54,866

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 31.5

8TH DOUBLE

7/5 168.5

7/12 8,713