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Sha Tin · 2023-04-23 · 15:03

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 12 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. EVERYONE'S VICTORY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with KEEN UNITY second and THE BEST HERO third. The 4.1 favourite THE MULTIPLIER finished 10th.

Result

Official · 1.09.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT 1.09.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · F C Lor 10 7.2 N
2 10 KEEN UNITY B/TT R Maia · A T Millard 6 49.0 N
3 4 THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho 4 5.1 1-1/4
4 1 SHINING FORTUNE PC/XB K Teetan · J Size 11 9.2 3-3/4
5 7 CALL ME TEDDY B1/TT H N Wong · C W Chang 3 14.0 3-3/4
6 9 I GIVE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 8 6.5 4
7 8 SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 16.0 4-1/4
8 3 LUCKY BANNER H/TT L Currie · C Fownes 12 27.0 4-1/2
9 12 LUCKY RUBY B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man 9 10.0 6
10 5 THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 5 4.1 8
11 11 HANDSOME REBEL B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 7 26.0 8-3/4
12 6 SWEET DIAMOND B K C Leung · P F Yiu 1 17.0 19-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVERYONE'S VICTORY2. KEEN UNITY+0.05L3. THE BEST HERO+1.25L4. SHINING FORTUNE+3.75L5. CALL ME TEDDY+3.75L6. I GIVE+4L7. SINGAPORE SPIRIT+4.25L8. LUCKY BANNER+4.5L9. LUCKY RUBY+6L10. THE MULTIPLIER+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SHINING FORTUNE (15.1%) finished 4th — the winner EVERYONE'S VICTORY was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SHINING FORTUNE 15.1% 6.61 4
2 4 THE BEST HERO 12.8% 7.78 3
3 5 THE MULTIPLIER 12.6% 7.93 10
4 3 LUCKY BANNER 9.4% 10.69 8
5 2 EVERYONE'S VICTORY 9.2% 10.86 1
6 9 I GIVE 8.9% 11.21 6
7 6 SWEET DIAMOND 7.6% 13.17 12
8 11 HANDSOME REBEL 6.7% 14.99 11
9 12 LUCKY RUBY 6.5% 15.34 9
10 8 SINGAPORE SPIRIT 4.2% 23.91 7
11 7 CALL ME TEDDY 3.6% 28.06 5
12 10 KEEN UNITY 3.4% 29.29 2
SHINING FORTUNETHE BEST HEROTHE MULTIPLIERLUCKY BANNEREVERYONE'S VICTORY — wonI GIVESWEET DIAMONDHANDSOME REBELLUCKY RUBYSINGAPORE SPIRITCALL ME TEDDYKEEN UNITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 72.5

PLACE

2 28.5

4 17

10 142.5

QUINELLA

2,10 2,109.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 92

2,10 667.5

4,10 534

FORECAST

2,10 3,930

TIERCE

2,10,4 26,947

TRIO

2,4,10 4,873

FIRST 4

1,2,4,10 5,567

QUARTET

2,10,4,1 162,983

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

10/6/2 7,361

10/6/10 7,906

3 PICK 1

A3

A2 21

A1

4TH DOUBLE

6/2 215.5

6/10 243.5