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Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1800m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly 1.49.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 5 3.0 N
2 0 HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P C Ng 2 3.5 N
4 0 TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip 10 14.0 1-1/2
5 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 5.8 1-1/2
6 0 BORN THE SAME DAY H/XB B Avdulla · C W Chang 3 10.0 1-3/4
7 0 SURREALISM Closed strongly B K Teetan · R Gibson 7 30.0 1-3/4
8 0 FLYING SILVER CP/TT M Dee · C S Shum 8 19.0 3-3/4
9 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung 9 34.0 4-3/4
10 0 AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 12 38.0 5-1/2
11 0 INCANTO PREPARED TT L Hewitson · W Y So 6 20.0 5-1/2
12 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT C L Chau · K L Man 11 77.0 8-1/2
— 0 TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Richards — 16.0 1-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. MANAGEMENT FOLKS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with HAPPY ANGEL second and TELECOM CHEETAH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MANAGEMENT FOLKS—2. HAPPY ANGEL+0.05L4. TELECOM CHEETAH+1.5L5. FOREVER GLORIOUS+1.5L6. BORN THE SAME DAY+1.75L7. SURREALISM+1.75L8. FLYING SILVER+3.75L9. PERFECT MARYKNOLL+4.75L10. AI ONE+5.5L11. INCANTO PREPARED+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick MANAGEMENT FOLKS (23.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MANAGEMENT FOLKS 23.2% 4.32 1
2 0 HAPPY ANGEL 16.3% 6.12 2
3 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS 16.1% 6.22 5
4 0 FLYING SILVER 8.3% 12.04 8
5 0 BORN THE SAME DAY 6.3% 15.81 6
6 0 TO INFINITY 6.3% 15.87 —
7 0 AI ONE 5.3% 18.99 10
8 0 SURREALISM 5.2% 19.23 7
9 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL 3.5% 28.68 9
10 0 INCANTO PREPARED 3.4% 29.72 11
11 0 TELECOM CHEETAH 3.2% 30.98 4
12 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 2.9% 34.18 12
MANAGEMENT FOLKS — wonHAPPY ANGELFOREVER GLORIOUSFLYING SILVERBORN THE SAME DAYTO INFINITYAI ONESURREALISMPERFECT MARYKNOLLINCANTO PREPAREDTELECOM CHEETAHKUNGFUMASTER PANDA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 30.5

PLACE

6 15

7 15

8 43.5

QUINELLA

6,7 72

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 31.5

6,8 93

7,8 89

FORECAST

7,6 143

TIERCE

7,6,8 1,155

TRIO

6,7,8 249

FIRST 4

6,7,8,10 996

QUARTET

7,6,8,10 12,178

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/6 125

3/7 446.5

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 16.5