Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. MANAGEMENT FOLKS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with HAPPY ANGEL second and TO INFINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly 1.49.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 3.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 2 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY H/XB B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 7 | 30.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FLYING SILVER CP/TT M Dee · C S Shum | M Dee | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 9 | 34.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | INCANTO PREPARED TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 77.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 23.2% | 4.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY ANGEL | 16.3% | 6.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 16.1% | 6.22 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING SILVER | 8.3% | 12.04 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 6.3% | 15.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 6.3% | 15.87 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | AI ONE | 5.3% | 18.99 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | SURREALISM | 5.2% | 19.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 3.5% | 28.68 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | INCANTO PREPARED | 3.4% | 29.72 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 3.2% | 30.98 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 2.9% | 34.18 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 30.5
PLACE
6 15
7 15
8 43.5
QUINELLA
6,7 72
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 31.5
6,8 93
7,8 89
FORECAST
7,6 143
TIERCE
7,6,8 1,155
TRIO
6,7,8 249
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 996
QUARTET
7,6,8,10 12,178
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/6 125
3/7 446.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5