Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly TT 1.38.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 3.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 3.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly B1 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 57.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 33.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY CP A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 4 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB M Dee · D J Hall | M Dee | D J Hall | 7 | 7.2 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Led early V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 36.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 19.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 8 | 45.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 4-3/4, with THE IRISHMAN second and WINNING DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite THE IRISHMAN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 15.7% | 6.38 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 15.6% | 6.42 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 11.7% | 8.57 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 11.0% | 9.11 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 8.8% | 11.30 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.4% | 15.69 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 6.1% | 16.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 5.8% | 17.24 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 5.8% | 17.35 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 5.2% | 19.06 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 4.0% | 24.84 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 4.0% | 25.03 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 32
PLACE
1 14.5
7 14.5
12 34
QUINELLA
1,7 53.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 25.5
1,12 59.5
7,12 68.5
FORECAST
7,1 96
TIERCE
7,1,12 616
TRIO
1,7,12 181
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 284
QUARTET
7,1,12,11 3,322
All pools (5 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/8/1 258
4/8/7 2,333
3 PICK 1
A1 22
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/1,7,12 18,546
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 115.5
8/7 842
SIX UP
7/6/6/4/8/7 2,845,280
7,12/3,6/5,6/1,4/2,8/1,7 7,225
1 [C Y Ho] —
3 [D J Hall] —