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Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FLAMING PASSION H/TT 1.09.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor 2 6.1 3/4
2 0 GALVANIC TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 5 2.9 3/4
3 0 TOGEPI B1 K Teetan · A T Millard 12 24.0 2
4 0 JUNEAU FLASH A Badel · J Size 4 7.8 2-3/4
5 0 ONE FOR ALL B/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson 8 5.0 2-3/4
6 0 MR VALIANT K C Leung · L Ho 1 8.0 2-3/4
8 0 UNITED WARRIORS TT B Avdulla · K W Lui 3 101.0 4-3/4
9 0 G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 7 12.0 4-3/4
10 0 LYRICAL MOTION TT L Hewitson · W Y So 6 23.0 6
11 0 PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT L Currie · J Richards 11 116.0 7-1/2
12 0 G LINER SR/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 10 149.0 13-1/4
— 0 SURE JOYFUL V M Dee · P F Yiu — 14.0 4-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLAMING PASSION, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with GALVANIC second and TOGEPI third. The 2.9 favourite GALVANIC finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLAMING PASSION—2. GALVANIC+0.75L3. TOGEPI+2L4. JUNEAU FLASH+2.75L5. ONE FOR ALL+2.75L6. MR VALIANT+2.75L8. UNITED WARRIORS+4.75L9. G ONE EXCELLENT+4.75L10. LYRICAL MOTION+6L11. PRESTIGE MOOCHI+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GALVANIC (18.9%) finished 2nd — the winner FLAMING PASSION was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALVANIC 18.9% 5.28 2
2 0 ONE FOR ALL 18.3% 5.46 5
3 0 MR VALIANT 12.7% 7.90 6
4 0 JUNEAU FLASH 12.0% 8.36 4
5 0 G ONE EXCELLENT 10.2% 9.81 9
6 0 FLAMING PASSION 7.6% 13.18 1
7 0 TOGEPI 6.9% 14.47 3
8 0 LYRICAL MOTION 6.2% 16.16 10
9 0 SURE JOYFUL 4.2% 23.76 —
10 0 PRESTIGE MOOCHI 1.4% 73.04 11
11 0 UNITED WARRIORS 0.9% 110.74 8
12 0 G LINER 0.8% 129.54 12
GALVANICONE FOR ALLMR VALIANTJUNEAU FLASHG ONE EXCELLENTFLAMING PASSION — wonTOGEPILYRICAL MOTIONSURE JOYFULPRESTIGE MOOCHIUNITED WARRIORSG LINER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 61.5

PLACE

5 14.5

6 20

10 63

QUINELLA

5,6 97.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 39

5,10 114

6,10 223

FORECAST

6,5 310

TIERCE

6,5,10 4,950

TRIO

5,6,10 592

FIRST 4

2,5,6,10 925

QUARTET

6,5,10,2 24,282

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 19.5

5TH DOUBLE

6/5 38

6/6 458