Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLAMING PASSION, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with GALVANIC second and TOGEPI third. The 2.9 favourite GALVANIC finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION H/TT 1.09.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | GALVANIC TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | TOGEPI B1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 7.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 8 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MR VALIANT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 8.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL V M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 9 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | UNITED WARRIORS TT B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 3 | 101.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 6 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 11 | 116.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | G LINER SR/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 149.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALVANIC | 18.9% | 5.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | ONE FOR ALL | 18.3% | 5.46 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | MR VALIANT | 12.7% | 7.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH | 12.0% | 8.36 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 10.2% | 9.81 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | FLAMING PASSION | 7.6% | 13.18 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | TOGEPI | 6.9% | 14.47 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION | 6.2% | 16.16 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL | 4.2% | 23.76 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 1.4% | 73.04 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | UNITED WARRIORS | 0.9% | 110.74 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | G LINER | 0.8% | 129.54 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 61.5
PLACE
5 14.5
6 20
10 63
QUINELLA
5,6 97.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 39
5,10 114
6,10 223
FORECAST
6,5 310
TIERCE
6,5,10 4,950
TRIO
5,6,10 592
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 925
QUARTET
6,5,10,2 24,282
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/5 38
6/6 458