Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DANCING CODE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with SON PAK FU second and SMOKEY BEAR third. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DANCING CODE PC/TT 1.09.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 3 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 6 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SHOW RESPECT SR/XB/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 2 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | TELECOM SPEED M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 1 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | PARTERRE K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 10 | 86.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | NINJA DERBY M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 8 | 39.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 7 | 78.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DANCING CODE | 32.7% | 3.06 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 16.0% | 6.24 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | SMOKEY BEAR | 9.8% | 10.17 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 6.9% | 14.45 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | TELECOM SPEED | 6.4% | 15.57 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 6.4% | 15.74 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 6.0% | 16.79 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | SMART IDEA | 5.5% | 18.16 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | SHOW RESPECT | 3.4% | 29.22 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | NINJA DERBY | 2.9% | 34.40 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | PARTERRE | 2.5% | 40.48 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 1.5% | 65.48 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 19
PLACE
1 16.5
4 11
8 34.5
QUINELLA
1,4 50
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 25
1,8 105
4,8 55.5
FORECAST
4,1 68
TIERCE
4,1,8 682
TRIO
1,4,8 192
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 329
QUARTET
4,1,8,3 3,008
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,10/1,4,8 17,348
6TH DOUBLE
6/1 53.5
6/4 210
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,9/5,6,10/1,4,8 787,551
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,9/5,6,10/Any Combination 5,955