Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. FAST SERVE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with SERGEANT PEPPER second and HEARTY WISH third. The 3.0 favourite SERGEANT PEPPER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FAST SERVE XB1 0.56.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 7 | SERGEANT PEPPER C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 1 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | HEARTY WISH B/SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY GOR B/E/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | I GIVE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD VIEW GLORY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY HORSE H/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 5 | 43.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | MULTIMORE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | INNOCONSTRUCTION TT M Dee · K W Lui | M Dee | K W Lui | 11 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | JAZZ CLUB B- K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 12 | 105.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY GOR | 20.9% | 4.79 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 12.3% | 8.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 10.7% | 9.34 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 10.4% | 9.62 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | HEARTY WISH | 8.6% | 11.62 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | INNOCONSTRUCTION | 8.0% | 12.54 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 5.7% | 17.52 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | FAST SERVE | 5.4% | 18.39 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | I GIVE | 4.9% | 20.22 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY HORSE | 4.8% | 20.74 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | MULTIMORE | 4.6% | 21.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | JAZZ CLUB | 3.6% | 28.12 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 35
PLACE
5 15
6 27
7 13.5
QUINELLA
5,7 59
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 68
5,7 29
6,7 50.5
FORECAST
5,7 139
TIERCE
5,7,6 583
TRIO
5,6,7 184
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 272
QUARTET
5,7,6,1 3,413
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/5,6,7 6,538
2ND DOUBLE
7/5 74.5
7/7 22.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —