Happy Valley · 2023-06-14 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-14 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MALDIVES, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with VIVA HUNTER second and HAMERON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite ROMANTIC LAOS finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB 1.39.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | HAMERON Closed strongly L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/XB/H1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WAR WEAPON XB/TT M Dee · P C Ng | M Dee | P C Ng | 10 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ROMANTIC LAOS H/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 2.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 6 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 12 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE TT1 M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 50.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 8 | 36.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER BABY Led early CP H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 1 | 37.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 46.4% | 2.16 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | STAR CONTACT | 10.6% | 9.42 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER | 7.3% | 13.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | HAMERON | 7.0% | 14.30 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | WAR WEAPON | 6.5% | 15.49 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | ALL BEAUTY | 4.9% | 20.61 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 3.6% | 28.12 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 3.0% | 33.07 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER BABY | 2.8% | 35.23 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | MALDIVES | 2.8% | 36.08 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | ALL ARE MINE | 2.6% | 37.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE | 2.6% | 38.82 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 150
PLACE
2 23.5
4 25.5
8 36
QUINELLA
2,8 524.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 76.5
2,8 136.5
4,8 131
FORECAST
8,2 1,038
TIERCE
8,2,4 7,915
TRIO
2,4,8 1,035
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 4,828
QUARTET
8,2,4,5 163,272
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 28
7TH DOUBLE
4/2 26
4/8 444