Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 5.3 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A T Millard | H Bowman | A T Millard | 4 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SERANGOON Closed strongly H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 7 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT Led early TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SWAN BAY B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 6.3 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly SR/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | — | 4.0 | NOSE |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. TOTAL POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Hall, won by NOSE, with ABOVE second and PACKING HURRICANE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite ABOVE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE | 26.5% | 3.78 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 13.0% | 7.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SWAN BAY | 12.0% | 8.32 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | ABOVE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SERANGOON | 3.7% | 27.22 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HIT THE SHOT | 2.4% | 42.13 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 40.5
PLACE
2 11.5
5 15.5
7 22
QUINELLA
5,7 130.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 25.5
2,7 35
5,7 41.5
FORECAST
5,7 286
TIERCE
5,7,2 584
TRIO
2,5,7 89
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 85
QUARTET
5,7,2,1 2,257
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 24.5
A2 —