Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 21:45
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SOLAR PARTNER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with SUPER EAGLE second and JUNEAU FLASH third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOLAR PARTNER TT 1.10.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.6 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 33.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH P1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 9.7 | SH |
| 4 | 6 | SPEEDY CHARIOT SR M Dee · D J Whyte | M Dee | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 37.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | CHEONG FAT H/PC K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 2 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | STOICISM B2/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 7 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI B/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | KING INVINCIBLE Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 5.3 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | CHARMING STEED TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 5.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 59.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | LEAN MASTER TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 93.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KING INVINCIBLE | 22.7% | 4.40 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | SOLAR PARTNER | 18.3% | 5.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | JUNEAU FLASH | 12.0% | 8.34 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | CHARMING STEED | 11.4% | 8.74 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 7.9% | 12.66 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | CHEONG FAT | 7.7% | 13.04 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI | 4.9% | 20.32 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE | 4.8% | 20.77 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | STOICISM | 4.2% | 23.90 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER DOBBIN | 2.7% | 37.12 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER | 2.4% | 42.52 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | LEAN MASTER | 1.0% | 97.82 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 26.5
PLACE
1 11
2 32
10 69.5
QUINELLA
1,10 418.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 52
1,10 133.5
2,10 336.5
FORECAST
1,10 571
TIERCE
1,10,2 3,972
TRIO
1,2,10 899
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 1,791
QUARTET
1,10,2,6 26,762
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 20.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,8/1,2,10 17,557
6TH DOUBLE
6/1 116
6/10 231
TRIPLE TRIO
4>5,6,11/3,6,8/1,2,10 1,013,961
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4>5,6,11/3,6,8/Any Combination 2,492