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Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 19:47

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.41.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 YEABOI Wire to wire B-/TT 1.41.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C H Yip 3 16.0 SH
2 0 DURHAM STAR Closed strongly SR/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte 7 5.4 SH
3 0 HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P C Ng 9 4.9 N
4 0 LEAN HERO Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 12 13.0 N
5 0 BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/TT M Dee · F C Lor 10 15.0 N
6 0 SPANGLE FORTUNE CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man 1 29.0 1-1/4
7 0 CHARMANDER B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 6 16.0 1-1/4
8 0 PEGASUS HERO L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 2 11.0 1-3/4
9 0 GET THE MONIES XB B Avdulla · K W Lui 4 3.5 2-1/2
10 0 COPARTNER ERA B L Currie · W Y So 5 51.0 2-1/2
11 0 BULLETPROOF Closed strongly V2 K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 17.0 4-3/4
12 0 SPARKY STAR B C L Chau · T P Yung 8 13.0 6

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. YEABOI, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with DURHAM STAR second and HAPPY ANGEL third. The winner led throughout. The 3.5 favourite GET THE MONIES finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YEABOI—2. DURHAM STAR+0.1L3. HAPPY ANGEL+0.05L4. LEAN HERO+0.05L5. BEAUTY MISSION+0.05L6. SPANGLE FORTUNE+1.25L7. CHARMANDER+1.25L8. PEGASUS HERO+1.75L9. GET THE MONIES+2.5L10. COPARTNER ERA+2.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GET THE MONIES (15.9%) finished 9th — the winner YEABOI was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GET THE MONIES 15.9% 6.30 9
2 0 LEAN HERO 15.2% 6.57 4
3 0 HAPPY ANGEL 13.6% 7.33 3
4 0 CHARMANDER 12.4% 8.08 7
5 0 DURHAM STAR 10.8% 9.23 2
6 0 PEGASUS HERO 7.2% 13.80 8
7 0 BEAUTY MISSION 7.1% 14.07 5
8 0 SPARKY STAR 5.5% 18.18 12
9 0 SPANGLE FORTUNE 4.4% 22.53 6
10 0 BULLETPROOF 3.5% 28.49 11
11 0 YEABOI 2.4% 41.89 1
12 0 COPARTNER ERA 1.9% 53.67 10
GET THE MONIESLEAN HEROHAPPY ANGELCHARMANDERDURHAM STARPEGASUS HEROBEAUTY MISSIONSPARKY STARSPANGLE FORTUNEBULLETPROOFYEABOI — wonCOPARTNER ERA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 161.5

PLACE

5 19

9 18.5

10 49.5

QUINELLA

5,10 539.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,9 46

5,10 163

9,10 167.5

FORECAST

10,5 1,234

TIERCE

10,5,9 7,019

TRIO

5,9,10 729

FIRST 4

2,5,9,10 1,911

QUARTET

10,5,9,2 48,919

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,12/5,9,10 82,835

2ND DOUBLE

12/5 387.5

12/10 2,521

3 PICK 1

A3 26

A1 —

A2 —