Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 20:48
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB 1.40.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 3 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | M UNICORN H/P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER Closed strongly TT1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW B/XB M Dee · D J Hall | M Dee | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 12 | 34.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | BABY Led early B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/H/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 9.7 | 6 |
| — | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | — | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TURQUOISE ALPHA, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won by 1, with GOLD TACK second and NICE BIRDIE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite GOLD TACK finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 18.6% | 5.37 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD TACK | 17.1% | 5.85 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | STURDY RUBY | 10.3% | 9.67 | — |
| 4 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 9.0% | 11.12 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | M UNICORN | 9.0% | 11.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 8.7% | 11.51 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 7.2% | 13.94 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 6.0% | 16.60 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BABY | 5.6% | 17.93 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 4.4% | 22.59 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 4.1% | 24.23 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 121.5
PLACE
4 40.5
5 15.5
6 15.5
QUINELLA
4,5 217
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 81
4,6 96
5,6 35.5
FORECAST
4,5 553
TIERCE
4,5,6 2,624
TRIO
4,5,6 329
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 653
QUARTET
4,5,6,7 18,448
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/9/4 11,840
10/9/5,11 261
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,12/4>5,6,11 25,131
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 16
4TH DOUBLE
9/4 356
9/5,11 10.5