Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SPLENDID LIVING, ridden by M Dee and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with QUANTUM PATCH second and ZONE D third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite SO WE JOY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SPLENDID LIVING Wire to wire CP/TT 1.39.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | ZONE D Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly H/SR/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | TOP TOP TEA A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP2/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 7 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 6 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | LOYAL BABY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 6.8 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly SR/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 12 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | THE HULK L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 11 | 40.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 9 | 36.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STAR CONTACT | 19.8% | 5.04 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | IVY LEAGUE | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | LOYAL BABY | 12.1% | 8.25 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | SPLENDID LIVING | 11.1% | 8.98 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | SO WE JOY | 9.7% | 10.29 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 7.0% | 14.20 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | RISING FROM ASHES | 6.4% | 15.56 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | TOP TOP TEA | 5.8% | 17.23 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR | 5.2% | 19.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | THE HULK | 4.9% | 20.52 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | ZONE D | 3.3% | 29.96 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH | 1.7% | 59.17 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 84
PLACE
3 34
9 28.5
10 42.5
QUINELLA
9,10 801
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 188.5
3,10 348.5
9,10 268
FORECAST
9,10 1,567
TIERCE
9,10,3 19,653
TRIO
3,9,10 4,574
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 6,586
QUARTET
9,10,3,6 200,563
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A1 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/9 172
1/10 224