Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DENFIELD TT 1.09.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 2.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | JOY COMING CP/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | OUR CLASS ACT H H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | MEGA BONUS V-/CP2 Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TRAVEL GOLF TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED DESERT B- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TELECOM SPIRIT B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 63.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 7.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SIGHT HERO B/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.8 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 38.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CALL ME MIGHTY B/H/TT1 H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 2 | 29.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CAMINO · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DENFIELD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-3/4, with JOY COMING second and OUR CLASS ACT third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN LUCK | 18.7% | 5.35 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | DENFIELD | 16.5% | 6.05 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | JOY COMING | 15.9% | 6.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SIGHT HERO | 9.3% | 10.73 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | TRAVEL GOLF | 9.0% | 11.16 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | OUR CLASS ACT | 8.9% | 11.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | LIKE THAT | 5.3% | 19.00 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | MEGA BONUS | 4.7% | 21.34 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 4.3% | 23.45 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 3.5% | 28.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | RED DESERT | 3.2% | 31.05 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | CALL ME MIGHTY | 0.7% | 142.43 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 20
PLACE
9 10.5
10 24.5
12 43.5
QUINELLA
9,10 76.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 32.5
9,12 76
10,12 148
FORECAST
9,10 131
TIERCE
9,10,12 870
TRIO
9,10,12 303
FIRST 4
2,9,10,12 1,372
QUARTET
9,10,12,2 11,720
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
10/9 326.5
10/10 134.5