Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SPLENDID STAR, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by L Ho, won by 1/2, with CLASSIC ARCHI second and SUNNY BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CLASSIC ARCHI finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly 1.49.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR-/B2/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER BUDDY Led early B/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ALL IS READY V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE Closed strongly XB/B1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPY HERO B- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 46.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | RING BELLS B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | BARON ZEE B/TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 10 | 10.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 26.1% | 3.83 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY BABY | 14.6% | 6.83 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | RING BELLS | 12.1% | 8.27 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | OWNERS' STAR | 9.2% | 10.88 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY | 8.2% | 12.23 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | BARON ZEE | 6.9% | 14.46 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | MIGHTY STAR | 6.7% | 14.97 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | ALL IS READY | 5.3% | 19.02 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER BUDDY | 3.4% | 29.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 2.8% | 35.98 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY HERO | 2.8% | 36.01 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SPLENDID STAR | 2.0% | 50.72 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 195
PLACE
1 18
3 14
12 51
QUINELLA
3,12 448
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 36
1,12 144.5
3,12 132.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,237
TIERCE
12,3,1 5,801
TRIO
1,3,12 585
FIRST 4
1,2,3,12 3,329
QUARTET
12,3,1,2 116,061
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/3 25.5
5/12 1,481
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 29