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Happy Valley · 2023-06-28 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1800m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly 1.49.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · L Ho 8 19.0 1/2
2 0 CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR-/B2/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte 1 3.1 1/2
3 0 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 9 5.5 3/4
4 0 SUPER BUDDY Led early B/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 12 32.0 1
5 0 OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So 6 9.9 1-1/2
6 0 ALL IS READY V K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 24.0 2-3/4
7 0 MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 5 9.4 3-1/4
8 0 DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes 7 22.0 3-1/2
9 0 YEE CHEONG BRAVE Closed strongly XB/B1 B Avdulla · D J Hall 11 18.0 4-3/4
10 0 HAPPY HERO B- A Badel · C H Yip 3 46.0 5
11 0 RING BELLS B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 4 5.9 5
12 0 BARON ZEE B/TT K Teetan · R Gibson 10 10.0 11-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-06-28 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SPLENDID STAR, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by L Ho, won by 1/2, with CLASSIC ARCHI second and SUNNY BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CLASSIC ARCHI finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SPLENDID STAR—2. CLASSIC ARCHI+0.5L3. SUNNY BABY+0.75L4. SUPER BUDDY+1L5. OWNERS' STAR+1.5L6. ALL IS READY+2.75L7. MIGHTY STAR+3.25L8. DAILY BEAUTY+3.5L9. YEE CHEONG BRAVE+4.75L10. HAPPY HERO+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CLASSIC ARCHI (26.1%) finished 2nd — the winner SPLENDID STAR was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 26.1% 3.83 2
2 0 SUNNY BABY 14.6% 6.83 3
3 0 RING BELLS 12.1% 8.27 11
4 0 OWNERS' STAR 9.2% 10.88 5
5 0 DAILY BEAUTY 8.2% 12.23 8
6 0 BARON ZEE 6.9% 14.46 12
7 0 MIGHTY STAR 6.7% 14.97 7
8 0 ALL IS READY 5.3% 19.02 6
9 0 SUPER BUDDY 3.4% 29.16 4
10 0 YEE CHEONG BRAVE 2.8% 35.98 9
11 0 HAPPY HERO 2.8% 36.01 10
12 0 SPLENDID STAR 2.0% 50.72 1
CLASSIC ARCHISUNNY BABYRING BELLSOWNERS' STARDAILY BEAUTYBARON ZEEMIGHTY STARALL IS READYSUPER BUDDYYEE CHEONG BRAVEHAPPY HEROSPLENDID STAR — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 195

PLACE

1 18

3 14

12 51

QUINELLA

3,12 448

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 36

1,12 144.5

3,12 132.5

FORECAST

12,3 1,237

TIERCE

12,3,1 5,801

TRIO

1,3,12 585

FIRST 4

1,2,3,12 3,329

QUARTET

12,3,1,2 116,061

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/3 25.5

5/12 1,481

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 29