Happy Valley · 2023-07-06 · 18:48
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V 1.40.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H/TT M Dee · A S Cruz | M Dee | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARIZARD B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 1 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 4.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI B/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 4 | 5.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | OUR CREED Led early V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 24.0 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 26.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SIX BEST FRIENDS CP/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 3 | 55.0 | 27 |
| — | 0 | MISTER ARM L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MEDIC ELITE · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. JUBILATION, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with DAILY BEAUTY second and FIERY FLYING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite BEAUTY NOVA finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 16.6% | 6.01 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 13.0% | 7.68 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 12.0% | 8.33 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | FIERY FLYING | 9.4% | 10.60 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CHIRON | 8.9% | 11.26 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | OUR CREED | 8.1% | 12.36 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 4.8% | 20.66 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | JUBILATION | 4.2% | 24.02 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 3.6% | 28.00 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 2.1% | 48.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 80
PLACE
5 14.5
6 16.5
8 27
9 28.5
QUINELLA
8,9 320
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 47.5
5,8 35.5
5,9 38.5
6,8 52.5
6,9 48.5
8,9 97.5
FORECAST
9,8 874
TIERCE
9,8,5 1,935
9,8,6 2,476
TRIO
5,8,9 281
6,8,9 329
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 1,550
QUARTET
9,8,5,6 18,768
9,8,6,5 20,731
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 36.5
A1 —
A3 —