Happy Valley · 2023-07-06 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA A LA P/TT 1.10.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 1 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | THETA HEDGE B/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | JAZZ STEED TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY CP/H K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 3 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 4 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EAGLE RUN SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 50.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | JACK WIN B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | GENEROUS FRIEND B-/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 118.0 | 29-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY GATHERING B2 H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 7 | 7.3 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-06 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VIVA A LA, ridden by A Badel and trained by L Ho, won by 1, with YOUNG SPARKLE second and THETA HEDGE third. The 3.3 favourite THETA HEDGE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 34.3% | 2.91 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 13.2% | 7.58 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | JACK WIN | 9.6% | 10.45 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 8.9% | 11.27 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 8.0% | 12.53 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | JAZZ STEED | 7.0% | 14.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 6.2% | 16.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 4.6% | 21.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | EAGLE RUN | 3.4% | 29.19 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT | 3.2% | 31.09 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | GENEROUS FRIEND | 1.5% | 65.52 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 42
PLACE
6 17
9 31.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
9,12 285.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 94.5
6,12 35.5
9,12 81.5
FORECAST
12,9 516
TIERCE
12,9,6 2,373
TRIO
6,9,12 323
FIRST 4
6,8,9,12 1,404
QUARTET
12,9,6,8 29,883
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/6,9,12 13,317
2ND DOUBLE
2/9 111
2/12 127.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —