Happy Valley · 2023-07-06 · 21:26
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-06 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SERGEANT PEPPER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with OVERSUBSCRIBED second and SAVVY DELIGHT third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SERGEANT PEPPER 0.57.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 12 | 2.7 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 22.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 29.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | STAND UP H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | PLENTIFUL CP/H/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 61.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | DASHING TRIUMPH CP/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | DEVIL AND GOLD TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 95.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | BULB TYCOON V-/SR1/TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 7 | 161.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STAND UP | 24.1% | 4.14 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 13.9% | 7.18 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 12.9% | 7.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 10.7% | 9.37 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | STARRY NIGHT | 10.4% | 9.58 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | PLENTIFUL | 8.8% | 11.40 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 5.6% | 17.72 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 4.6% | 21.91 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 3.1% | 32.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.6% | 38.82 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 1.7% | 59.15 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | BULB TYCOON | 1.7% | 60.06 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 27
PLACE
2 49.5
6 12
7 42
QUINELLA
6,7 263.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 108.5
2,7 304.5
6,7 96
FORECAST
6,7 396
TIERCE
6,7,2 4,242
TRIO
2,6,7 1,339
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 1,459
QUARTET
6,7,2,5 28,539
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5
5TH DOUBLE
4/6 248
4/7 179