Happy Valley · 2023-07-06 · 22:28
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JOYFUL HUNTER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with COLONEL second and SAVVY CHIC third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOYFUL HUNTER XB 1.10.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 1.3 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | COLONEL V B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 12 | 29.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SAVVY CHIC TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 8.4 | HD |
| 4 | 6 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | TIMESTORM B/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | E BROTHER B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | EXUBERANT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | CIRCUIT BOOMING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE V/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | ABOVE ALL H/XB M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 10 | 85.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT M Dee · J Richards | M Dee | J Richards | 2 | 199.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | CROWN OF STAR TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 9 | 266.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 28.3% | 3.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | TIMESTORM | 16.1% | 6.23 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | EXUBERANT | 14.7% | 6.79 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | E BROTHER | 8.6% | 11.67 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | SAVVY CHIC | 8.1% | 12.31 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | WOOD ON FIRE | 7.1% | 14.13 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | CIRCUIT BOOMING | 4.9% | 20.36 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE | 4.6% | 21.69 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | COLONEL | 4.1% | 24.37 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | ABOVE ALL | 2.1% | 47.44 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 0.7% | 142.48 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | CROWN OF STAR | 0.7% | 143.11 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 13.5
PLACE
1 10.1
4 19.5
9 45.5
QUINELLA
1,9 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 24.5
1,9 56
4,9 152.5
FORECAST
1,9 205
TIERCE
1,9,4 1,199
TRIO
1,4,9 218
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 784
QUARTET
1,9,4,6 9,259
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 12
7TH DOUBLE
6/1 48
6/9 443.5