Happy Valley · 2023-07-06 · 20:55
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. D STAR, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2-1/4, with STRONGEST BOY second and PALACE PAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite BEAU GOSSE finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | D STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.40.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT M Dee · C H Yip | M Dee | C H Yip | 6 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | MASTER TORNADO B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 11 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 2 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER BABY CP- B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 1 | 49.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 32.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 9 | 8.3 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAU GOSSE H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.2 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 4 | 34.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TO INFINITY | 20.9% | 4.79 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAU GOSSE | 17.7% | 5.64 | 11 |
| 3 | 4 | D STAR | 10.0% | 10.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY | 9.3% | 10.71 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | PALACE PAL | 7.8% | 12.82 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MASTER TORNADO | 7.7% | 13.02 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPERB MOVE | 6.9% | 14.54 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME | 5.9% | 17.07 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 5.1% | 19.42 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | SUPER BABY | 3.2% | 30.92 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER | 2.9% | 34.74 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 2.6% | 38.51 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 48.5
PLACE
4 18.5
6 53
8 32.5
QUINELLA
4,8 216
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 166.5
4,8 72
6,8 306.5
FORECAST
4,8 408
TIERCE
4,8,6 4,388
TRIO
4,6,8 1,285
FIRST 4
4,6,8,11 2,456
QUARTET
4,8,6,11 38,055
All pools (4 more)
1ST TREBLE
12/3/4 1,798
12/3/8 699
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/4,6,8 314,310
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 334
3/8 124