Happy Valley · 2023-07-06 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-07-06 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. STOLTZ, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with WHIZZ KID second and KURPANY third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STOLTZ CP 0.55.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 4 | 1.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | WHIZZ KID B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | KURPANY B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CARROLL STREET B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | EASON V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 7.2 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 27.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STOLTZ | 37.9% | 2.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | EASON | 23.7% | 4.22 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | WHIZZ KID | 16.5% | 6.07 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CARROLL STREET | 13.0% | 7.67 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY | 4.6% | 21.69 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | KURPANY | 4.2% | 23.53 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 18
PLACE
2 13
4 19.5
QUINELLA
2,4 34.5
FORECAST
2,4 62
TIERCE
2,4,1 249
TRIO
1,2,4 113
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 71
QUARTET
2,4,1,5 643
1ST DOUBLE
9/2 186.5
9/4 72