Happy Valley · 2023-09-20 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Led early TT Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY B A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GREEN LASER L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-20 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CLASSIC ARCHI, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with FIERY FLYING second and HAPPY JAI JAI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite HAPPY JAI JAI finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 29.8% | 3.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 23.4% | 4.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FIERY FLYING | 15.0% | 6.68 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 14.1% | 7.10 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY | 9.4% | 10.68 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 8.4% | 11.96 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 31
PLACE
2 13.5
3 12.5
4 15.5
QUINELLA
3,4 58.5
- —
FORECAST
3,4 113
TIERCE
3,4,2 239
TRIO
2,3,4 58
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 29
QUARTET
3,4,2,1 431