Happy Valley · 2023-09-20 · 13:17
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STREET CONQUEROR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with GALVANIC second and COSMO NAVIGATOR third. The 2.0 favourite GALVANIC finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STREET CONQUEROR H-/TT 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 46.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | GALVANIC B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 32.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | KASI FARASI B K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 7 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 3 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 5.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 8.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 81.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | ISLAND BRIGHT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 10 | 24.0 | 15-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GALVANIC | 28.8% | 3.47 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | MAGIC SUPREME | 25.1% | 3.98 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL | 12.5% | 8.01 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | KASI FARASI | 9.2% | 10.83 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 8.6% | 11.62 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 6.2% | 16.19 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | ISLAND BRIGHT | 3.9% | 25.32 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | STREET CONQUEROR | 2.2% | 46.21 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 1.7% | 57.62 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | STARRY NIGHT | 1.7% | 58.95 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 461.5
PLACE
1 90.5
3 11
8 43
QUINELLA
1,3 461.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 147.5
1,8 1,049
3,8 119.5
FORECAST
1,3 1,556
TIERCE
1,3,8 23,987
TRIO
1,3,8 3,039
FIRST 4
1,3,4,8 4,402
QUARTET
1,3,8,4 160,540
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/9/1 8,145
5/9/3 52
4TH DOUBLE
9/1 2,052
9/3 19