Happy Valley · 2023-09-20 · 21:46
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 8 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER Led early TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly H/SR/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly XB/PC1 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 7 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | UP AND UP B1/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 4.7 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-20 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RISING FROM ASHES, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with CAPITAL LEGEND second and STAR CONTACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 27.6% | 3.62 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE | 15.8% | 6.33 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 12.3% | 8.14 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 11.3% | 8.88 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | UP AND UP | 7.8% | 12.83 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES | 5.9% | 16.90 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | MALDIVES | 5.6% | 17.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.0% | 19.96 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 5.0% | 20.04 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 3.7% | 27.12 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 40
PLACE
2 19.5
6 55
7 18.5
QUINELLA
2,6 574.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 174.5
2,7 48
6,7 172
FORECAST
2,6 807
TIERCE
2,6,7 5,284
TRIO
2,6,7 802
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 1,804
QUARTET
2,6,7,4 38,542
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,8/2,6,7 646,201
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 3,879.5
1/6 1,016.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
8,9,10/1,3,8/Any Combination 205,548