Happy Valley · 2023-09-20 · 11:46
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SAVVY CHIC, ridden by H Bowman and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with JOY OF SPRING second and WOOD ON FIRE third. The 4.7 favourite COLONEL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SAVVY CHIC TT 1.09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 8 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING TT1 B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 2 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | COLONEL V Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 27.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | DAILY TROPHY H1/PC1/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 6 | 76.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MR MAJESTIC CP/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HERO STAR XB/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | STOICISM B/TT K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 10 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | STORMTROUPER XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 5.6 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | COLONEL | 22.2% | 4.50 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SAVVY CHIC | 17.9% | 5.59 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | STORMTROUPER | 15.9% | 6.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON | 8.5% | 11.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE | 8.4% | 11.92 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | MR MAJESTIC | 7.9% | 12.64 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | HERO STAR | 6.4% | 15.58 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | STOICISM | 5.3% | 18.86 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING | 3.6% | 28.10 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 2.4% | 41.39 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | DAILY TROPHY | 1.5% | 65.36 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 66
PLACE
1 28.5
3 49
4 19.5
QUINELLA
1,3 666.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 203
1,4 66
3,4 128
FORECAST
1,3 1,368
TIERCE
1,3,4 5,718
TRIO
1,3,4 823
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 608
QUARTET
1,3,4,6 19,895
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 150.5
3/3 55
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4,6/1,3,4 3,508