Happy Valley · 2023-09-20 · 20:16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUNE PLANET Closed strongly V-/TT 1.39.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly XB/SR2/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON STAR Led early B/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' PRAISE CP H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING SILVER CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RELIABLE PROFIT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. JUNE PLANET, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with PRINCE ALEX second and DRAGON STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite DRAGON STAR finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 22.0% | 4.54 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX | 21.9% | 4.56 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 18.3% | 5.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 18.2% | 5.51 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | JUNE PLANET | 17.7% | 5.66 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 2.0% | 51.10 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 38
PLACE
3 34
5 19
QUINELLA
3,5 104.5
- —
FORECAST
5,3 190
TIERCE
5,3,7 424
TRIO
3,5,7 55
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 34
QUARTET
5,3,7,1 1,191
2ND DOUBLE
1/3 111.5
1/5 232.5