Happy Valley · 2023-09-20 · 22:53
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly TT 1.39.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 6 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN H/XB/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 8.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 2 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 8 | 49.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO B/H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 41.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LOOKING GREAT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-09-20 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HELENE FEELING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with NEARLY FINE second and RISE BRETHREN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite RISE BRETHREN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 23.8% | 4.20 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | HELENE FEELING | 14.6% | 6.86 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 13.0% | 7.72 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 10.6% | 9.39 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 7.1% | 14.17 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 6.2% | 16.07 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 6.1% | 16.30 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 5.0% | 20.14 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 4.4% | 22.49 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 3.1% | 32.44 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 3.1% | 32.63 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.1% | 32.72 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 59.5
PLACE
6 15
10 25.5
11 23
QUINELLA
10,11 326
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 70.5
6,11 53.5
10,11 103.5
FORECAST
11,10 526
TIERCE
11,10,6 3,073
TRIO
6,10,11 439
FIRST 4
3,6,10,11 1,005
QUARTET
11,10,6,3 23,189
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/1/10 799
2/1/11 1,266
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,10/6,10,11 21,818
7TH DOUBLE
1/10 93
1/11 199.5
SIX UP
3,5/8,9/1,3/2,6/1,10/10,11 5,442
5/9/1/2/1/11 3,045,399
1 [C Fownes] —
2 [H Bowman] —