Happy Valley · 2023-10-04 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA A LA Wire to wire P/TT 1.39.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 2.4 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 3 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | M M NEBULA CP/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 10 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 2.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 9 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 8 | 32.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY B L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 11 | 27.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-04 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIVA A LA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with YEE CHEONG WARRIOR second and TSUEN WAN GLORY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite YEE CHEONG WARRIOR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 28.9% | 3.46 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 18.8% | 5.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 8.7% | 11.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 7.7% | 13.00 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | M M NEBULA | 7.5% | 13.40 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 6.5% | 15.38 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 6.1% | 16.51 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 5.9% | 16.88 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 4.6% | 21.61 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY | 3.2% | 30.94 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 2.1% | 46.79 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 130
PLACE
3 14
7 30.5
8 44.5
QUINELLA
3,7 174
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 60.5
3,8 77
7,8 271
FORECAST
7,3 504
TIERCE
7,3,8 5,497
TRIO
3,7,8 737
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 1,206
QUARTET
7,3,8,2 37,050