Happy Valley · 2023-10-04 · 22:53
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 11 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SILVER SONIC Closed strongly XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 5 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly BR-/B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 2 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY SR/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 3.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 10 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHRYSOS Led early B/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 8 | 27.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.1 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | D STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.9 | 9 |
| — | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC LAOS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-1/4, with SILVER SONIC second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite ROYAL PRIDE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZONE D | 16.2% | 6.17 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | SILVER SONIC | 15.5% | 6.47 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 14.1% | 7.09 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 13.7% | 7.32 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | D STAR | 13.3% | 7.54 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 7.2% | 13.84 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | HK DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MALDIVES | 5.2% | 19.20 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 4.9% | 20.48 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | CHRYSOS | 1.8% | 56.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY | 1.7% | 58.97 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 62
PLACE
5 18
6 22.5
11 69.5
QUINELLA
5,6 212
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 81.5
5,11 242.5
6,11 256.5
FORECAST
6,5 345
TIERCE
6,5,11 6,658
TRIO
5,6,11 1,709
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 17,012
QUARTET
6,5,11,3 203,515
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/4/5 59
1/4/6 363
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/5,6,11 37,500
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 33
4/6 256
SIX UP
3,4/2,8/5,7/1,5/4,11/5,6 8,053
4/2/5/1/4/6 265,699
4/2/7/1/4/6 126,349
1 [Z Purton] —
7 [F C Lor] —