Happy Valley · 2023-10-04 · 20:46
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUNE PLANET Closed strongly TT 1.39.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/V1/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly SR/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 2 | 2.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY Closed strongly B/TT1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 76.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER BABY Closed strongly TT1 B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 8 | 35.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CYBER PATCH Led early PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 49.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | YEABOI TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | E TALENT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 63.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-10-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JUNE PLANET, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with FEARLESS FIRE second and BEAUTY MISSION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite DURHAM STAR finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUNE PLANET | 31.8% | 3.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | DURHAM STAR | 30.4% | 3.29 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 6.2% | 16.07 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 5.4% | 18.41 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | YEABOI | 5.1% | 19.74 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | LITTLE FAIRY | 4.2% | 23.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | E TALENT | 2.8% | 35.97 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | CYBER PATCH | 1.9% | 51.40 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 1.8% | 55.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK | 1.7% | 59.97 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 36
PLACE
2 14
8 19.5
11 30
QUINELLA
2,8 85.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 30.5
2,11 54
8,11 76.5
FORECAST
2,8 174
TIERCE
2,8,11 893
TRIO
2,8,11 205
FIRST 4
2,3,8,11 108
QUARTET
2,8,11,3 2,724
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/2,8,11 6,747
3RD DOUBLE
4/2 354
4/8 129.5