Sha Tin · 2023-10-25 · 11:55
Race 2
Class 5
GOOD (AWT)
1200m
12 runners
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-25 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ALL IS READY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-3/4, with DAY DAY RICH second and VAMOS third. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ALL IS READY B/TT1 1.09.91 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | VAMOS B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 7 | 8.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | NOIR RIDER B-/XB K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | TURBO POWER B2 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 7.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 4.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | GENERAL WINNER CP-/V1/XB1/TT1 A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 6 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | BEAT HOLLOW K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 7.7 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | SPICY SO SMART CP-/XB/B1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 12 | 14.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | FIGHTING STAR B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 37.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 4 | CRAIG'S MASTER CP-/H-/B1/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 72.0 | 31 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick TURBO POWER (17.3%) finished 5th — the winner ALL IS READY was rated #3.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TURBO POWER | 17.3% | 5.79 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY RUBY | 13.9% | 7.18 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | ALL IS READY | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | GENERAL WINNER | 9.9% | 10.12 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | SWEET DIAMOND | 9.9% | 10.13 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | VAMOS | 9.3% | 10.80 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | NOIR RIDER | 7.7% | 13.07 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH | 6.8% | 14.66 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | FIGHTING STAR | 6.0% | 16.75 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | BEAT HOLLOW | 3.9% | 25.97 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | SPICY SO SMART | 3.1% | 31.80 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 2.2% | 44.60 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
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This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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