Sha Tin · 2023-10-25 · 14:00
Race 6
Class 3
GOOD (AWT)
1650m
14 runners
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-25 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. PERFECT TEAM, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with FIERY DIAMOND second and ADEFILL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite ADEFILL finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly H/P1/TT 1.38.31 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | FIERY DIAMOND Led early C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ADEFILL CP K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | NORDIC STAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 8.2 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | VIVA HUNTER B2/TT K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 11 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | SO WE JOY H2/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 70.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 40.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B-/PC1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 45.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly V M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 14 | 32.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 23.0 | 18 |
| 13 | 12 | CAPTAIN WIN PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 8.2 | 18-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA B-/PC1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 3 | 20.0 | 45 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick ADEFILL (23.2%) finished 3rd — the winner PERFECT TEAM was rated #6.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ADEFILL | 23.2% | 4.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | CAPTAIN WIN | 10.4% | 9.65 | 13 |
| 3 | 14 | NORDIC STAR | 9.6% | 10.37 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 8.1% | 12.40 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | FIERY DIAMOND | 7.4% | 13.49 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | PERFECT TEAM | 6.9% | 14.41 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.1% | 16.51 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA | 5.5% | 18.15 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | SO WE JOY | 4.8% | 20.97 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | VIVA HUNTER | 4.8% | 21.02 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | MALDIVES | 4.2% | 23.59 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 4.2% | 23.59 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 2.5% | 39.64 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.3% | 44.10 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
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Race 7 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1650m
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