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Sha Tin · 2023-10-25 · 22:23

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.01
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Wire to wire B 1.38.01 M F Poon · F C Lor 1 13.0 2
2 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui 12 9.3 2
3 0 RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly P2/TT K De Melo · J Richards 3 11.0 2-1/2
4 0 ERIMO B-/PC2 A Badel · J Size 6 5.2 2-3/4
5 0 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 17.0 3-3/4
6 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS L Ferraris · Y S Tsui 5 26.0 4-1/4
7 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 8 76.0 4-3/4
8 0 YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 4 6.0 6
9 0 NEARLY FINE Closed strongly B1/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 13 33.0 7-1/2
10 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS B L Hewitson · P F Yiu 11 22.0 11-1/4
11 0 APACHE PASS PC/XB K C Leung · P C Ng 10 17.0 13
12 0 TRUE LEGEND B/TT1 Y L Chung · W K Mo 9 51.0 17-3/4
13 0 HANDSOME TWELVE Z Purton · T P Yung 7 3.1 20

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-25 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with CHANCHENG PRINCE second and RISE BRETHREN third. The winner led throughout. The 3.1 favourite HANDSOME TWELVE finished 13th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S—2. CHANCHENG PRINCE+2L3. RISE BRETHREN+2.5L4. ERIMO+2.75L5. BERLIN TANGO+3.75L6. TELECOM FIGHTERS+4.25L7. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT+4.75L8. YOUTHFUL DEAL+6L9. NEARLY FINE+7.5L10. SPIRITED EXPRESS+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick RISE BRETHREN (20.3%) finished 3rd — the winner ALL FOR ST PAUL'S was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RISE BRETHREN 20.3% 4.93 3
2 0 HANDSOME TWELVE 13.3% 7.51 13
3 0 BERLIN TANGO 11.0% 9.07 5
4 0 YOUTHFUL DEAL 7.5% 13.25 8
5 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 7.5% 13.38 1
6 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS 7.3% 13.68 10
7 0 NEARLY FINE 6.3% 15.92 9
8 0 ERIMO 5.1% 19.63 4
9 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 5.0% 19.97 6
10 0 APACHE PASS 4.5% 22.05 11
11 0 TRUE LEGEND 4.3% 23.08 12
12 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 4.3% 23.19 7
13 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 3.5% 28.81 2
RISE BRETHRENHANDSOME TWELVEBERLIN TANGOYOUTHFUL DEALALL FOR ST PAUL'S — wonSPIRITED EXPRESSNEARLY FINEERIMOTELECOM FIGHTERSAPACHE PASSTRUE LEGENDEVERYONE'S DELIGHTCHANCHENG PRINCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.