Sha Tin · 2023-11-26 · 04:50
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-26 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. APEX TOP, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won by HD, with ANGELS HUNTER second and BEAT HOLLOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | APEX TOP Closed strongly B 1.22.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.5 | HD |
| 2 | 13 | ANGELS HUNTER Closed strongly V/TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 12.0 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | BEAT HOLLOW Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | COMPULSORY Closed strongly CP/XB K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 7 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | TSUEN WAN GLORY Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 13 | 47.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly V/XB/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER CONTENTED Closed strongly H-/P-/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 91.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | DEVIL AND GOLD Closed strongly A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | GO GO GO Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 8.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | YOO YOO KNIGHT BO1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | MULTIWIN B/H Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 72.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GREAT BRILLIANT B- M L Yeung · M Newnham | M L Yeung | M Newnham | 9 | 126.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | ART LITE K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTER OF LUCK | 12.0% | 8.33 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | APEX TOP | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | BEAT HOLLOW | 11.6% | 8.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | GO GO GO | 11.2% | 8.93 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | ANGELS HUNTER | 9.8% | 10.24 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER | 8.8% | 11.31 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 8.3% | 12.07 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | COMPULSORY | 6.3% | 15.96 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD | 6.2% | 16.08 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 4.0% | 25.10 | 14 |
| 11 | 5 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 3.7% | 26.88 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTIWIN | 2.8% | 35.94 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.1% | 48.56 | 10 |
| 14 | 4 | SUPER CONTENTED | 1.5% | 65.97 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 55.5
PLACE
9 26
10 21
13 37
QUINELLA
10,13 296
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 94
9,13 160.5
10,13 106
FORECAST
10,13 482
TIERCE
10,13,9 4,161
TRIO
9,10,13 821
FIRST 4
9,10,13,14 1,499
QUARTET
10,13,9,14 38,023