Sha Tin · 2023-11-26 · 09:55
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. I GIVE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with COTTON FINGERS second and GLOBAL HARMONY third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | I GIVE 1.08.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 3.0 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | COTTON FINGERS TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 9.8 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE B-/H/V1 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 6 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR B/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | SWIFT ASCEND XB K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 5 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HAPPY DAILY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 72.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | UP AND UP TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 124.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE | 25.1% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | I GIVE | 22.3% | 4.49 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | COTTON FINGERS | 10.1% | 9.90 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 9.8% | 10.23 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 7.4% | 13.59 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 6.7% | 14.97 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 5.5% | 18.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY | 3.6% | 27.44 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | SWIFT ASCEND | 3.4% | 29.46 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR | 3.1% | 32.58 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY DAILY | 2.2% | 45.93 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | UP AND UP | 1.0% | 104.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 30.5
PLACE
4 28
5 31
10 15.5
QUINELLA
5,10 197
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 152.5
4,10 68.5
5,10 70
FORECAST
10,5 329
TIERCE
10,5,4 2,324
TRIO
4,5,10 603
FIRST 4
4,5,7,10 1,360
QUARTET
10,5,4,7 19,217
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/10/5 1,282
6/10/10 1,644
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/4,5,10 52,444
9TH DOUBLE
10/5 72
10/10 77
SIX UP
7,10/4,7/6,9/3,6/1,10/5,10 123,403
10/4/6/6/10/10 2,655,233
4 [A Atzeni] —
5 [P C Ng] —