Sha Tin · 2023-11-26 · 08:20
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-26 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by J McDonald and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with ATULLIBIGEAL second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite HAPPY TOGETHER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT 1.34.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 1 | 16.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 7 | 8.3 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | RED LION Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 7.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BOURBONAIRE H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | SPIRITED EXPRESS B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | RUNNING GLORY TT1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 59.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 21.9% | 4.57 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 14.3% | 7.01 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 13.4% | 7.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | RED LION | 12.9% | 7.78 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | THE BEST PEACH | 8.0% | 12.45 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 7.2% | 13.96 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 6.3% | 15.94 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.2% | 19.29 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 5.1% | 19.67 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | RUNNING GLORY | 3.8% | 26.04 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | BOURBONAIRE | 2.0% | 49.44 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 164
PLACE
6 40.5
9 20
11 15.5
QUINELLA
6,9 609
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 163.5
6,11 79.5
9,11 43.5
FORECAST
6,9 1,431
TIERCE
6,9,11 5,202
TRIO
6,9,11 480
FIRST 4
5,6,9,11 356
QUARTET
6,9,11,5 15,808
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/6 3,054
4/9 102.5