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Sha Tin · 2023-11-26 · 16:16

Race 7

Class 1 GOOD 1600m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT 1.34.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · A S Cruz 1 16.0 SH
2 0 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB K De Melo · D J Hall 7 8.3 SH
3 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 2 3.1 1-1/2
4 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H C Y Ho · W Y So 5 3.6 2
5 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 11 10.0 2-1/2
6 0 CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 10.0 3-1/2
7 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 6 50.0 4
8 0 RED LION Z Purton · J Size 4 7.1 4-3/4
9 0 BOURBONAIRE H B Avdulla · J Size 10 28.0 5
10 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS B A Atzeni · P F Yiu 8 27.0 5-1/4
11 0 RUNNING GLORY TT1 K Teetan · J Size 9 59.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-26 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by J McDonald and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with ATULLIBIGEAL second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite HAPPY TOGETHER finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE GOLDEN SCENERY—2. ATULLIBIGEAL+0.1L3. HAPPY TOGETHER+1.5L4. SUPER SUNNY SING+2L5. THE BEST PEACH+2.5L6. CIRCUIT STELLAR+3.5L7. TELECOM FIGHTERS+4L8. RED LION+4.75L9. BOURBONAIRE+5L10. SPIRITED EXPRESS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SUPER SUNNY SING (21.9%) finished 4th — the winner THE GOLDEN SCENERY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 21.9% 4.57 4
2 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 14.3% 7.01 3
3 0 CIRCUIT STELLAR 13.4% 7.47 6
4 0 RED LION 12.9% 7.78 8
5 0 THE BEST PEACH 8.0% 12.45 5
6 0 ATULLIBIGEAL 7.2% 13.96 2
7 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 6.3% 15.94 7
8 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 5.2% 19.29 1
9 0 SPIRITED EXPRESS 5.1% 19.67 10
10 0 RUNNING GLORY 3.8% 26.04 11
11 0 BOURBONAIRE 2.0% 49.44 9
SUPER SUNNY SINGHAPPY TOGETHERCIRCUIT STELLARRED LIONTHE BEST PEACHATULLIBIGEALTELECOM FIGHTERSTHE GOLDEN SCENERY — wonSPIRITED EXPRESSRUNNING GLORYBOURBONAIRE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 164

PLACE

6 40.5

9 20

11 15.5

QUINELLA

6,9 609

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 163.5

6,11 79.5

9,11 43.5

FORECAST

6,9 1,431

TIERCE

6,9,11 5,202

TRIO

6,9,11 480

FIRST 4

5,6,9,11 356

QUARTET

6,9,11,5 15,808

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

4/6 3,054

4/9 102.5