Sha Tin · 2023-11-26 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-11-26 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG GLORY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with WOODFIRE BRO second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHANCHENG GLORY Wire to wire B/XB 1.35.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MARADO Closed strongly B C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 8 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM B/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 11 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTYVERSE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | PRECISE EXPRESS H M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | FLAMINGO TRILLION CP- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SPEED DRAGON A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 14 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE Closed strongly CP-/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 150.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | SOLAR GOGO K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 13 | 172.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 28.8% | 3.47 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 12.0% | 8.34 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 10.5% | 9.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTYVERSE | 8.4% | 11.84 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT | 6.8% | 14.71 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SPEED DRAGON | 6.4% | 15.51 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.95 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 4.6% | 21.57 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS | 4.2% | 23.86 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | MARADO | 4.1% | 24.14 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 3.7% | 27.02 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | WOODFIRE BRO | 2.9% | 34.01 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 1.0% | 96.59 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | SOLAR GOGO | 0.7% | 135.14 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 30.5
PLACE
1 56
8 36.5
10 17
QUINELLA
1,10 366
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 319.5
1,10 133.5
8,10 100
FORECAST
10,1 541
TIERCE
10,1,8 6,543
TRIO
1,8,10 1,486
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 5,541
QUARTET
10,1,8,12 64,465
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 556.5
6/10 651