Happy Valley · 2023-12-29 · 19:11
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly PC/TT 2.17.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 37.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE SR/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY Led early A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY HERO B H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 1 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER H J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 2 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 5 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AI ONE H/TT B Avdulla · K H Ting | B Avdulla | K H Ting | 7 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR H-/B/TT- A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 3 | 33.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-29 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. GREEN LASER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with NICE BIRDIE second and BOOM ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite HAPPY HERO finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 23.6% | 4.24 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 21.9% | 4.56 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 14.2% | 7.04 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 10.5% | 9.53 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 8.6% | 11.67 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 7.7% | 13.07 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 5.7% | 17.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | AI ONE | 4.9% | 20.26 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 2.9% | 34.87 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 378.5
PLACE
2 41.5
3 21
9 75.5
QUINELLA
2,9 1,497.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 132.5
2,9 391.5
3,9 251.5
FORECAST
9,2 2,907
TIERCE
9,2,3 21,437
TRIO
2,3,9 3,286
FIRST 4
2,3,8,9 4,336
QUARTET
9,2,3,8 138,123