Happy Valley · 2023-12-29 · 22:53
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT 1.40.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 26.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 9 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 7 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly B-/H/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 10 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 12 | 43.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | D STAR B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 3 | 2.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SILVER SONIC XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 2.8 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | LOYAL BABY H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 56.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RED ACLAIM P-/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 24.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS H H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 11 | 60.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. STAR CONTACT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1, with TOURBILLON PRINCE second and EIGHTEEN PALMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite QUANTUM PATCH finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH | 21.7% | 4.61 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | SILVER SONIC | 21.0% | 4.76 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 19.7% | 5.09 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 6.6% | 15.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | RED ACLAIM | 6.3% | 15.75 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 6.0% | 16.72 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 5.1% | 19.77 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | D STAR | 4.0% | 24.75 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 3.4% | 29.51 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION | 2.5% | 39.34 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.2% | 46.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 1.5% | 67.23 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 268
PLACE
2 25.5
9 38
12 49
QUINELLA
2,12 883.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 182
2,12 234.5
9,12 393
FORECAST
12,2 2,270
TIERCE
12,2,9 21,935
TRIO
2,9,12 3,993
FIRST 4
2,6,9,12 6,989
QUARTET
12,2,9,6 183,118
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/5/2 170
6/5/12 3,346
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/2,9,12 1,282,986
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 88.5
5/12 1,200.5
SIX UP
4,6/3,12/3,12/6,12/4,5/2,12 24,877
11 [J Richards] —
2 [A Badel] —