Happy Valley · 2023-12-29 · 20:41
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 10 | 48.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY Closed strongly H J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CONCERTO Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | AROMATICA Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | DAILY TROPHY TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PODIUM Closed strongly B-/XB-/TT1 A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 4 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 8.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL B K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 2 | 3.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HO HO STAR TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 12 | 35.0 | 30-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-29 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ATOMIC BEAUTY, ridden by K H Chan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with SATIRICAL GLORY second and FOREVER GLORIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite HAPPY ANGEL finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 25.2% | 3.97 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 11.6% | 8.64 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 8.5% | 11.75 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CONCERTO | 8.1% | 12.30 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | DAILY TROPHY | 7.2% | 13.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | PODIUM | 6.5% | 15.42 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 6.4% | 15.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 6.1% | 16.28 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HO HO STAR | 3.1% | 32.62 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 2.7% | 36.47 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | AROMATICA | 1.2% | 85.97 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 484
PLACE
3 22
5 28.5
12 99.5
QUINELLA
3,12 1,133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 94
3,12 391
5,12 612.5
FORECAST
12,3 4,516
TIERCE
12,3,5 56,040
TRIO
3,5,12 3,780
FIRST 4
2,3,5,12 15,670
QUARTET
12,3,5,2 521,419
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,10/3,5,12 811,729
3RD DOUBLE
6/3 298
6/12 8,146.5