Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 11:45
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SIMPLY MAVERICK, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with LOVERO second and FEARLESS FIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly 1.40.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 7 | 1.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | LOVERO Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 40.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE Led early B-/XB/BO1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | CLUB SODA B-/P1 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | STORMTROUPER Closed strongly E/XB L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 6 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly B H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 9 | 8.1 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | RUNNING AHEAD TT2 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | TO INFINITY B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 2 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 50.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | E TALENT B- K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 8 | 132.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 22.1% | 4.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 17.2% | 5.83 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE | 16.8% | 5.97 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | TO INFINITY | 12.7% | 7.86 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | RUNNING AHEAD | 9.5% | 10.55 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | STORMTROUPER | 9.3% | 10.75 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 6.9% | 14.52 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | CLUB SODA | 3.5% | 28.29 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | LOVERO | 1.5% | 68.86 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | E TALENT | 0.6% | 171.48 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 13.5
PLACE
1 66.5
2 11
5 18.5
QUINELLA
1,2 251.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 81
1,5 271.5
2,5 23
FORECAST
2,1 210
TIERCE
2,1,5 1,259
TRIO
1,2,5 433
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 1,015
QUARTET
2,1,5,7 10,280
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 323
8/2 89.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,8/1,2,5 16,749