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Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 19:41

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course B 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.49
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly 1.40.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu 7 1.3 2
2 0 LOVERO Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 40.0 2
3 0 FEARLESS FIRE Led early B-/XB/BO1 K Teetan · D A Hayes 5 10.0 4
4 0 CLUB SODA B-/P1 A Atzeni · J Size 4 25.0 4-3/4
5 0 STORMTROUPER Closed strongly E/XB L Hewitson · C H Yip 6 24.0 5
6 0 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly B H Bowman · W Y So 9 8.1 5
7 0 RUNNING AHEAD TT2 C L Chau · T P Yung 3 24.0 6-1/4
8 0 TO INFINITY B/TT K C Leung · J Richards 2 14.0 6-1/2
9 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall 10 50.0 6-3/4
10 0 E TALENT B- K De Melo · K L Man 8 132.0 14-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SIMPLY MAVERICK, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with LOVERO second and FEARLESS FIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SIMPLY MAVERICK—2. LOVERO+2L3. FEARLESS FIRE+4L4. CLUB SODA+4.75L5. STORMTROUPER+5L6. OWNERS' PRAISE+5L7. RUNNING AHEAD+6.25L8. TO INFINITY+6.5L9. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR+6.75L10. E TALENT+14.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SIMPLY MAVERICK (22.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SIMPLY MAVERICK 22.1% 4.52 1
2 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 17.2% 5.83 6
3 0 FEARLESS FIRE 16.8% 5.97 3
4 0 TO INFINITY 12.7% 7.86 8
5 0 RUNNING AHEAD 9.5% 10.55 7
6 0 STORMTROUPER 9.3% 10.75 5
7 0 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 6.9% 14.52 9
8 0 CLUB SODA 3.5% 28.29 4
9 0 LOVERO 1.5% 68.86 2
10 0 E TALENT 0.6% 171.48 10
SIMPLY MAVERICK — wonOWNERS' PRAISEFEARLESS FIRETO INFINITYRUNNING AHEADSTORMTROUPERYEE CHEONG WARRIORCLUB SODALOVEROE TALENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 13.5

PLACE

1 66.5

2 11

5 18.5

QUINELLA

1,2 251.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 81

1,5 271.5

2,5 23

FORECAST

2,1 210

TIERCE

2,1,5 1,259

TRIO

1,2,5 433

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 1,015

QUARTET

2,1,5,7 10,280

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/1 323

8/2 89.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,8/1,2,5 16,749