Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with LA CITY BLANCHE second and HELENE FEELING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite HELENE FEELING finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT 1.48.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | HELENE FEELING CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B-/XB/V1 H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 4 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 80.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ENCOUNTERED TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 66.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | MONEY CATCHER M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SWORD POINT CP H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 6 | 7.8 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 7 | 35.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SWORD POINT | 18.6% | 5.38 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | HELENE FEELING | 17.6% | 5.68 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 16.2% | 6.16 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 7.4% | 13.51 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 7.3% | 13.74 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 7.2% | 13.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | MONEY CATCHER | 6.4% | 15.73 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 5.7% | 17.63 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | ENCOUNTERED | 5.1% | 19.52 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | BERLIN TANGO | 3.5% | 28.31 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | RISING FROM ASHES | 2.9% | 34.58 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.1% | 47.43 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 41.5
PLACE
7 14
9 16
11 28
QUINELLA
9,11 160
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 25.5
7,11 49
9,11 54
FORECAST
9,11 238
TIERCE
9,11,7 660
TRIO
7,9,11 110
FIRST 4
7,8,9,11 293
QUARTET
9,11,7,8 5,697
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/7,9,11 2,714
5TH DOUBLE
6/9 174.5
6/11 65
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,5/4,6,11/7,9,11 230,858
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,5/4,6,11/Any Combination 2,011