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Happy Valley · 2024-01-10 · 21:46

Race 6

Group 3 GOOD 1800m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT 1.48.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor 3 4.1 3/4
2 0 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 10.0 3/4
3 0 HELENE FEELING CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum 9 2.4 1-1/2
4 0 NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 11 16.0 2-1/4
5 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B-/XB/V1 H Bentley · M Newnham 4 25.0 2-1/2
6 0 CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 20.0 3-3/4
7 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 8 80.0 4-1/4
8 0 ENCOUNTERED TT K C Leung · K L Man 12 11.0 4-1/4
9 0 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 10 66.0 4-1/2
10 0 MONEY CATCHER M Chadwick · F C Lor 5 27.0 4-3/4
11 0 SWORD POINT CP H Bowman · F C Lor 6 7.8 6
12 0 RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K De Melo · K W Lui 7 35.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-01-10 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with LA CITY BLANCHE second and HELENE FEELING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite HELENE FEELING finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY TOGETHER—2. LA CITY BLANCHE+0.75L3. HELENE FEELING+1.5L4. NIMBLE NIMBUS+2.25L5. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+2.5L6. CHAMPION DRAGON+3.75L7. TELECOM FIGHTERS+4.25L8. ENCOUNTERED+4.25L9. BERLIN TANGO+4.5L10. MONEY CATCHER+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SWORD POINT (18.6%) finished 11th — the winner HAPPY TOGETHER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SWORD POINT 18.6% 5.38 11
2 0 HELENE FEELING 17.6% 5.68 3
3 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 16.2% 6.16 1
4 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 7.4% 13.51 5
5 0 LA CITY BLANCHE 7.3% 13.74 2
6 0 CHAMPION DRAGON 7.2% 13.82 6
7 0 MONEY CATCHER 6.4% 15.73 10
8 0 NIMBLE NIMBUS 5.7% 17.63 4
9 0 ENCOUNTERED 5.1% 19.52 8
10 0 BERLIN TANGO 3.5% 28.31 9
11 0 RISING FROM ASHES 2.9% 34.58 12
12 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 2.1% 47.43 7
SWORD POINTHELENE FEELINGHAPPY TOGETHER — wonTOURBILLON DIAMONDLA CITY BLANCHECHAMPION DRAGONMONEY CATCHERNIMBLE NIMBUSENCOUNTEREDBERLIN TANGORISING FROM ASHESTELECOM FIGHTERS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 41.5

PLACE

7 14

9 16

11 28

QUINELLA

9,11 160

QUINELLA PLACE

7,9 25.5

7,11 49

9,11 54

FORECAST

9,11 238

TIERCE

9,11,7 660

TRIO

7,9,11 110

FIRST 4

7,8,9,11 293

QUARTET

9,11,7,8 5,697

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,11/7,9,11 2,714

5TH DOUBLE

6/9 174.5

6/11 65

TRIPLE TRIO

3,4,5/4,6,11/7,9,11 230,858

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,4,5/4,6,11/Any Combination 2,011